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pokercasinosports

Avondale

Today, Flat7f

CASEMIRO (1) has found it hard to win another race, and ran a solid race for third when finishing less than a length from the winner in a stronger field over 1600m at Ellerslie 18 days ago. He looks very well-placed in this and is the one to beat. MR MARIGOLD (2) scored a strong win over 1400m at Tauranga last start as favourite, finding the right race following on from a couple of starts in tougher fields at Ellerslie. Hard to hold out again. SOARING PENGSHAN (4) pressed forward from a wide draw last time, and outstayed his rivals to win by nearly a length at Te Aroha over 1400m. He has taken his time to get fully fit after returning from Hong Kong, and he can now go on with the job. SCARLET TEMPLE (5) is normally running on late in her races, finishing fifth over 1600m at Te Rapa last start. She is crying out for more ground, but on a heavy track by this time of the day, it will be more like a middle-distance than a mile. Stick with her. VEGAS LIGHTS (12) is not out of this.

  • 1. Casemiro
  • 2. Mr Marigold
  • 4. Soaring Pengshan
R8 1600m Hcap
  • 2. 2. Mr Marigold
    J: MATTHEW CAMERONT: KYLIE HOSKIN
    F: 21701
    Price History:
    5.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    65
    Days Since Last Run:
    7
    Verdict
    At the latest run favourite; was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 0.8 len at Tauranga October 1 over 1400m on a soft track defeating Top Shelf with 58kg at $2.80. Before that 14th of 16 at Ellerslie on September 20 over 1300m, on a slow track; 4 len behind Big Wave with 58.5kg at $25.30. Ideally placed to make it two on the trot.
  • 1. 1. Casemiro
    J: WIREMU PINNT: JENNA MAHONEY
    F: 052x3
    Price History:
    7.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    65
    Days Since Last Run:
    18
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after three months 3rd of 13 at Ellerslie on September 20 over 1600m, slow going 0.8 len behind Elysian Fields with 55kg at $7. Previously second-up 5th of 18 at Ellerslie on June 7 over 1600m, slow going 5 len behind Peerless with 59.5kg at $21.70. Fitter and is a leading contender.
  • 5. 5. Scarlet Temple
    J: SAMANTHA COLLETTT: DEBBIE SWEENEY
    F: 81205
    Price History:
    7.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    65
    Days Since Last Run:
    24
    Verdict
    At the latest run 5th of 11 at Te Rapa on September 14 over 1600m, in the wet; 3.5 len behind Pegasus with 58kg at $6.30. The start before that 12th of 15 at Ellerslie on September 6 over 1600m, slow going 2.5 len behind Texas carrying 58kg at $9.10. Hard to beat on her best form.
  • 4. 4. Soaring Pengshan
    J: CRAIG GRYLLST: SHANE CRAWFORD
    F: 0x531
    Price History:
    10.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    17
    Verdict
    Recent form sound. Most recently raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by 0.8 len at Te Aroha September 21 over 1400m in heavy going defeating Koro's Princess with 66.5kg at $3.90. The start before that 3rd in a small field at Woodville on September 7 over 1200m, on a wet track; 1.5 len behind Brady with 58.5kg at $4. Likely to go well from the rails draw.
  • 11. 11. Sadhbh
    J: GEORGE ROOKET: PAM GERARD
    F: x2231
    Price History:
    10.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    24
    Verdict
    Form hard to fault. Last start favourite; won by a nose at Te Rapa September 14 over 1500m in heavy going defeating Intoxicated with 56.5kg at $2.80. The start before that 3rd of 12 at Te Rapa on August 23 over 1600m, on a wet track; 0.9 len behind Don's Legacy carrying 56.5kg at $4.50. One of the top 3 chances.
  • 8. 8. Blusweyhooves
    J: JASMINE FAWCETTT: RALPH MANNING
    F: 46531
    Price History:
    12.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    35
    Verdict
    Racing well recently. Comes off a 35 day let-up. At the latest run won by a head at Ruakaka September 3 over 1600m on a rain affected track defeating Cheerful Smile with 57.5kg at $4.50. The race before that 3rd of 9 at Arawa Park on August 13 over 1400m, on heavy track; 2 len behind Life Of Riley carrying 57.5kg at $12.20. Key chance and expected to run well.
  • 3. 3. Sacred Combatant
    J: SAM MCNABT: BRUCE WALLACE & GRANT COOKSLEY
    F: 651x0
    Price History:
    13.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    18
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after five months ran last of 16 at Ellerslie on September 20 over 1300m, on a slow track; 7 len behind Big Wave with 59kg at $37.50. Previously second-up 5th of 7 at Pukekohe on April 2 over 1400m, 3.5 len behind Esperanza with 58.5kg at $6.60. Looks tested in this field.
  • 6. 6. Interplanetary
    J: JOE DOYLET: CONOR AND SARAH FAHY
    F: 006x6
    Price History:
    13.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    19
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after six months 6th of 10 at Te Aroha on September 19 over 1600m, on heavy track; 4.5 len behind Shivoo with 67kg at $3.80. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at Pukekohe on November 7 over 1600m, 8 len behind Ortem Legacy with 55kg at $14.70. Strips fitter and expected to feature.
  • 9. 9. Everymoveyoumake
    J: SAM WEATHERLEYT: TONY PIKE
    F: 850x6
    Price History:
    13.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after five months 6th of 9 at Cambridge Synthetic on September 24 over 1300m, 5 len behind Fun Never Sets with 54kg at $9.90. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Arawa Park F&M Mdn-Sw on December 4 over 1560m, 3.5 len behind Fosse carrying 56kg at $14.40. Will need to do a bit more.
  • 13. 13. Just A Karin
    J: CORENTIN BERGET: ALLAN MORLEY
    F: 4x420
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    11
    Verdict
    Last start ran last of 15 at Te Rapa on September 27 over 1600m, on rain affected going; 13 len behind Suavetta carrying 57kg at $17.80. The start before that held ground to the line 2nd of 11 at Te Rapa on September 14 over 1600m, in the wet; 0.8 len behind Pegasus carrying 56kg at $21. Needs to improve sharply.
  • 7. 7. Shivoo
    J: SAGE DURICT: DEAN WILES
    F: 58414
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    17
    Verdict
    Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 13 at Te Aroha on September 21 over 1400m, on heavy track; 2.5 len behind Soaring Pengshan carrying 68.5kg at $5.90. Before that won by 0.8 len at Te Aroha September 19 over 1600m in the wet defeating Robbie Burns carrying 63kg at $7. Expect he will make amends.
  • 15. 15. Barcelona
    J: ASHLEE STRAWBRIDGET: MARGARET FALCONER
    F: 02607
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    55
    Days Since Last Run:
    56
    Verdict
    Comes here off a 56-day let-up. Last start 7th of 10 at Arawa Park on August 13 over 1950m, on rain affected going; 4 len behind Overrated with 54kg at $8.90. Before that ran last of 11 at Ruakaka on August 2 over 2100m, slow going 62 len behind Double Take with 55kg at $7.80. Must improve to play a role.
  • 10. 10. No Plan Be
    J: -T: MICHELLE BRADLEY
    F: 2837x
    Price History:
    13.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    123
    Verdict
    Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of four months. Finished off last preparation seventh of 13 at Ellerslie June 7 over 2100m, soft track; 8 len behind War Of Succession carrying 56kg at $6. Previous preparation first-up won by 2 len Ruakaka April 3 2024 over 1600m defeating Pure Delight carrying 56.5kg at $3.50. Has claims if presented on song.
  • 14. 14. Eddies Dream
    J: ELEN NICHOLAST: MICHAEL ROGERS
    F: 48227
    Price History:
    31.00
    Age:
    10
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    55
    Days Since Last Run:
    7
    Verdict
    Most recently raced on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 9 at Tauranga on October 1 over 1400m, on a slow track; 9 len behind Mr Marigold with 54.5kg at $11.50. Before that ran on from midfield; 2nd of 8 at Matamata on September 12 over 1400m, on a wet track; head behind Robbie Burns with 53.5kg at $6.30. Disappointing latest but can bounce back.
  • 16. 16. Our Jasmine
    J: -T: SCOTT WENN
    F: 77200
    Price History:
    41.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    52
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Last start raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 10 at Cambridge Synthetic on September 24 over 1550m, 15 len behind El Zoro carrying 55kg at $17.30. The run before that ran last of 10 at Te Aroha on September 19 over 1600m, in the wet; 13 len behind Shivoo carrying 66kg at $20. Unlikely to threaten.
Non-Runners
  • 12. Vegas Lights
    J: TAYLA MITCHELLT: Moira & Kieran Murdoch
    F: 0x531
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    35
    Verdict
    Form hard to fault. Comes off a 35 day let-up. Last start favourite; raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by a nose at Ruakaka September 3 over 1600m in soft going defeating Chataya with 55.5kg at $3.50. Before that sat on the pace when 3rd of 13 at Ruakaka on August 16 over 1600m, on rain affected going; 3 len behind Miss Seth with 55.5kg at $3.60. Looks suitably placed here and should play a big role again.

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