Curragh

Tomorrow, May 25, 2025Flat1m

LAKE VICTORIA shaped as if the run was needed when a respectable sixth in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket so is well worth another chance with her stellar juvenile campaign still fresh in the memory. The exciting Swelter followed up her debut win in good style in a trial for this at Leopardstown and rates the main threat ahead of Ollie Sangster's pair Flight and Simmering, who both finished in front of the selection when placed in the 1000 Guineas.

  • Lake Victoria
  • Swelter
  • Flight
Win or Each Way
Each Way terms: 1/5 odds for first 3 places
  • 9. Lake Victoria
    J: Ryan MooreT: Aidan O'Brien, Ireland
    F: 11111-6
    Price History:
    2.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    118
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Frankel filly who had an outstanding juvenile campaign, winning all 5 starts, including Group 1s over 6f (Cheveley Park), 7f (Moyglare) and 1m (Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf). Shaped as if needing run in 1000 Guineas at Newmarket on return and better expected now. Clear form pick.
  • 11. Swelter
    J: C. D. HayesT: D. K. Weld, Ireland
    F: 1-1
    Price History:
    5.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    105
    Days Since Last Run:
    56
    Verdict
    Kingman filly who created an excellent impression when debut winner of 1m maiden at Leopardstown and looked a smart prospect when making it 2 from 2 in Group 3 there on return. Brings the most potential so right in the mix.
  • 6. Flight
    J: Oisin MurphyT: Ollie Sangster
    F: 22133-2
    Price History:
    6.50
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    111
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Useful 2-y-o, finishing third in the May Hill at Doncaster (1m, good) and Oh So Sharp at Newmarket (7f, good to soft) in the autumn. Significant improvement when second in the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket on return, racing away from the main pack. Needs considering.
  • 10. Simmering
    J: D. B. McMonagleT: Ollie Sangster
    F: 321124-73
    Price History:
    10.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    109
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Won at Group 2/3 level last summer. Also chased home Lake Victoria in the Moyglare and left underwhelming reappearance in the Fred Darling well behind when good third in 1000 Guineas at Newmarket 3 weeks ago, doing best of the those from off the pace. Respected.
  • 8. January
    J: W. M. LordanT: Aidan O'Brien, Ireland
    F: 213122-
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    105
    Days Since Last Run:
    226
    Verdict
    Steadily progressive at 2, her 2 wins including a listed event at Tipperary. Beaten only by Desert Flower in the May Hill Fillies' Mile last 2 starts and type to make a better 3-y-o.
  • 4. City Of Memphis
    J: William James LeeT: P. Twomey, Ireland
    F: 1
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    19
    Verdict
    €370,000 2-y-o by Sioux Nation who justified support in the manner of a really exciting prospect in 6f maiden at Cork, nothing like fully extended to come clear. However, this is asking a lot to follow up in a race like this just 19 days on from debut and stamina not guaranteed, either.
  • 1. Atsila
    J: G. M. RyanT: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien, Ireland
    F: 11
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    104
    Days Since Last Run:
    20
    Verdict
    Comfortable debut win in 11-runner maiden at Bellewstown and overcame the rise in class to maintain unbeaten record in Group 3 over C&D 3 weeks ago, value extra having had to overcome trouble in running. More to come and not taken lightly.
  • 5. Duty First
    J: Hollie DoyleT: Archie Watson
    F: 4123-19
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    109
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Came up a little short in Group races on soft ground at 2 but it was a different story when faced with a quicker surface on reappearance, winning the Group 3 Fred Darling at Newbury. Seemed unsuited by the track in 1000 Guineas at Newmarket since and better expected here.
  • 3. Cercene
    J: G. F. CarrollT: Joseph G. Murphy, Ireland
    F: 317-32
    Price History:
    41.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    103
    Days Since Last Run:
    20
    Verdict
    Useful form placed in Group 3s at Leopardstown (behind Swelter) and C&D (behind Atsila) both starts this season but likely to find a few too strong once again.
  • 2. California Dreamer
    J: David EganT: Adrian Murray, Ireland
    F: 52347-104
    Price History:
    51.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    101
    Days Since Last Run:
    20
    Verdict
    Established as useful so very hard to see her finding the required improvement.
  • 7. Jaliyah
    J: C. T. KeaneT: Adrian Murray, Ireland
    F: 4518-212
    Price History:
    67.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    97
    Days Since Last Run:
    15
    Verdict
    Fairly useful filly but out of her depth here.
  • 12. Tamam Desert
    J: Shane FoleyT: E. J. O'Neill, Ireland
    F: 01-5
    Price History:
    101.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    9-2
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    90
    Days Since Last Run:
    15
    Verdict
    Built on debut to win 16-runner maiden at Galway in September and better form when fifth in listed race at Naas on return. Remains with potential but this is a huge ask.
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